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Crit Chance

Shows commonly cited approximations for TF2 random crit chance. Melee and ranged use different baselines; damage dealt in a recent window raises the odds.

Community / wiki approximations — not guaranteed engine source. Actual rolls depend on server settings (tf_weapon_criticals), weapon type, and timing windows. Use for intuition only.

Inputs

Weapon type Damage dealt in recent window Damage scale (wiki-style)

Commonly quoted form: chance ≈ base + damage × scale, often capped near 12% (ranged) / 60% (melee) in community writeups — cap toggle below.

Apply soft community caps (12% / 60%)

Estimated chance

—

Per eligible attack (approx.)

Base—

Damage bonus—

Raw (uncapped)—

Attacks for ~50% ≥1 crit*—

*Independent trials: n ≈ ln(0.5)/ln(1−p). Ignores multi-shot & server quirks.